¿Partido ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Honduras en 2025? / Winning party of Honduras' 2025 pres. election?
¿Partido ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Honduras en 2025? / Winning party of Honduras' 2025 pres. election?
9
11kṀ1413
2026
36%
Libertad y Refundación
35%
Partido Nacional
32%
Partido Liberal
3%
Otro / Other

Contexto: Honduras celebrará su elección presidencial general el 30 de noviembre de 2025. Históricamente, se proyecta un ganador dentro de las 100 horas, pero cuando los resultados están reñidos, la declaración oficial puede tardar hasta unos 30 días.

Criterios de resolución: Este mercado se resolverá a favor del partido del candidato ganador - lo cual se decidirá una vez que sea indiscutible que los candidatos rezagados no pueden superar al líder. Si dos o más partidos forman algún tipo de alianza detrás de un solo candidato que termina ganando, el mercado se resolverá como "YES" (i.e. "SÍ" en español) para cada partido miembro de dicha alianza. Si la contienda está demasiado reñida para ser decidida, el mercado se resolverá cuando el Consejo Nacional Electoral de Honduras declare oficialmente al ganador.

Context: Honduras will hold its general presidential election on November 30, 2025. Historically, there's a projected winner within 100 hours, but when the results are close an official declaration has taken up to 30ish days.

Resolution criteria: This market resolves to the party of the winning candidate, and it will settle once it is indisputable that the trailing candidates cannot surpass the leader. If two or more parties form some kind of alliance behind a single candidate that ends up winning, the market will resolve "YES" to every member party of said alliance. If the race is too close to call, the market will resolve when Honduras' National Electoral Council officially declares a winner.

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