Hamas accepts Trump's peace plan within 72 hours?
7
100Ṁ726
Oct 3
5%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • Resolves YES if 72 hours after Israel acceptance, Hamas publicly and explicitly states that it “accepts” President Donald Trump’s September 29, 2025 Gaza peace plan. Acceptance must be:

    • Issued by an official Hamas channel (e.g., Political Bureau statement, named spokesperson on Hamas’ official outlets) or

    • Reported by at least two reputable outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera) quoting Hamas as accepting Trump’s September 29 plan.

  • Phrases such as “welcome,” “support in principle,” “ready to discuss/consider,” or acceptance “with conditions” that materially alter the plan do not count.

Background

  • On September 29, 2025, the White House released a 20‑point proposal to end the Israel–Hamas war, including an immediate ceasefire upon mutual agreement, the return of all hostages within 72 hours of Israel’s acceptance, staged IDF withdrawal, demilitarization of Gaza, and a transitional technocratic governance overseen by an international “Board of Peace” chaired by Trump (Tony Blair named as a member).

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