In the event of a major military conflict involving Iran and European states, to what extent is it likely that Muslims

Question

In the event of a major military conflict involving Iran and European states, to what extent is it likely that Muslims living in Europe would politically and socially align with their European countries rather than with Iran, and what evidence exists regarding how such loyalties might divide or converge?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (0 traders, as of Mar 22, 2026).

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