Resolves to YES if YES is at 50% or better at the close of this bet.
Context: There has been much discussion about whether AI will enable a single person to create a company that is valued at $1 billion. OpenClaw may be an example of such a company.
Update 2026-02-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the market resolution is entirely dependent on the market probability at close time (YES if ≥50%, NO if <50%), and is not dependent on whether OpenClaw actually becomes a one-person billion dollar company. The resolution is based solely on trading activity, not any objective facts about OpenClaw.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ183 | |
| 2 | Ṁ91 | |
| 3 | Ṁ41 | |
| 4 | Ṁ41 | |
| 5 | Ṁ33 |
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What was the point of this? I almost included this market in the newsletter yesterday but then I realized it was just whale bait and had to take it out. Annoying!
@MichaeldelaMaza "Resolves to YES if YES is at 50% or better at the close of this bet." -> If you have enough mana you can make profit by fixing the market to 51% or 49% before close time, completely irrespective of whatever the market is about. The resolution of the market is only dependent on trades, not anything objective about OpenClaw.