Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
23
179
Ṁ3.4KṀ2.1K
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
98.8%
emmett shear
56%
jasontheween
39%
Dwarkesh Patel
24%
Alex Tabarrok
19%
Nate Silver
16%
Bryan Caplan
15%
14%
Destiny
13%
Tyler Cowen
11%
Grimes
9%
Martin Shkreli
7%
Vitalik Buterin
6%
Lex Fridman
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Caroline Ellison
4%
Beff Jezos
3%
SBF
1.9%
Nassim Taleb
1.3%
Jimmy Carter
Which public figures/famous people/internet microcelebrities will start actively betting on Manifold in 2024?
PLEASE NOTE: I've learned my lesson from past markets: it's no fun when they sign up, create an account, place a single bet, and never sign in again: any account needs have reached 2000 mana in trading volume OR twenty trades by the end of the year to count.
Feel free to add existing accounts of famous people who haven't met the activity threshold, e.g. Lex Fridman.
Get Ṁ200 play money
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