Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
24
189
2.1k
2025
98.8%
emmett shear
39%
Dwarkesh Patel
24%
Alex Tabarrok
19%
Nate Silver
16%
Bryan Caplan
14%
Destiny
13%
Tyler Cowen
10%
Grimes
9%
Martin Shkreli
7%
Vitalik Buterin
7%
jasontheween
6%
Lex Fridman
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Caroline Ellison
4%
Beff Jezos
3%
SBF
1.9%
Nassim Taleb
1.3%
Jimmy Carter

Which public figures/famous people/internet microcelebrities will start actively betting on Manifold in 2024?

PLEASE NOTE: I've learned my lesson from past markets: it's no fun when they sign up, create an account, place a single bet, and never sign in again: any account needs have reached 2000 mana in trading volume OR twenty trades by the end of the year to count.

Feel free to add existing accounts of famous people who haven't met the activity threshold, e.g. Lex Fridman.

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emmett shear
bought Ṁ500 emmett shear YES

Should resolve Yes: EmmettShear has made more than 20 trades.

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