
Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
37
2.1kṀ5609resolved Jan 22
Resolved
YESDwarkesh Patel
Resolved
YESemmett shear
Resolved
NODestiny
Resolved
NOLex Fridman
Resolved
NONate Silver
Resolved
NOSBF
Resolved
NOCaroline Ellison
Resolved
NOResolved
NOTyler Cowen
Resolved
NOAlex Tabarrok
Resolved
NOBryan Caplan
Resolved
NOElon Musk
Resolved
NOGrimes
Resolved
NOMartin Shkreli
Resolved
NONassim Taleb
Resolved
NOVitalik Buterin
Resolved
NOBeff Jezos
Resolved
NOJimmy Carter
Resolved
NOjasontheween
Which public figures/famous people/internet microcelebrities will start actively betting on Manifold in 2024?
PLEASE NOTE: I've learned my lesson from past markets: it's no fun when they sign up, create an account, place a single bet, and never sign in again: any account needs have reached 2000 mana in trading volume OR twenty trades by the end of the year to count.
Feel free to add existing accounts of famous people who haven't met the activity threshold, e.g. Lex Fridman.
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@MichaelWheatley can resolve? (AFAIK all the remaining ones are NO, except Dwarkesh). totally fair if you'd rather wait a few weeks for additional evidence
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