Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
Basic
33
แน4.4kJan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
98.8%
emmett shear
33%
Dwarkesh Patel
13%
Alex Tabarrok
12%
Bryan Caplan
11%
11%
Nate Silver
9%
Lex Fridman
9%
Destiny
7%
jasontheween
6%
Tyler Cowen
5%
Martin Shkreli
4%
Grimes
4%
Vitalik Buterin
4%
Caroline Ellison
4%
Elon Musk
3%
SBF
2%
Beff Jezos
1.9%
Nassim Taleb
1.3%
Jimmy Carter
Which public figures/famous people/internet microcelebrities will start actively betting on Manifold in 2024?
PLEASE NOTE: I've learned my lesson from past markets: it's no fun when they sign up, create an account, place a single bet, and never sign in again: any account needs have reached 2000 mana in trading volume OR twenty trades by the end of the year to count.
Feel free to add existing accounts of famous people who haven't met the activity threshold, e.g. Lex Fridman.
Get แน1,000 play money
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