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MANIFOLD
What TPOT user will have the most Manifold profits at EOY?
11
Ṁ690Ṁ2.1k
resolved Jan 1
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0.3%

This is an unofficial leaderboard for TPOT accounts on manifold.

TPOT ("That Part of Twitter") is a loose commmunity of rationalist-adjacent accounts on twitter. Many users have gone and made Manifold accounts.

The devs promise that it will soon be possible to add answers to a multiple choice market, so I've gone and made this market with an incomplete list.

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The devs promise that it will soon be possible to add answers to a multiple choice market, so I've gone and made this market with an incomplete list.

Are you able to add? Any you are planning to add now? @MichaelWheatley

Worried about Eliezer actually having a good track record on predictions

Open his profile

It's all insider trading on his own podcasts plus the one AI doom prediction

relief.jpg

@ShakedKoplewitz If you don't want to be worried don't look at NamesAreHard's profit graph and their Bio (P(doom) = 90%. Any other probabilities are relatively unimportant, but sometimes I bet on them anyway.)

@justifieduseofFallibilism and those are on a wide range of topics too. Well that's stressful.