Quick note: while I realize we can all predict the outcome with high confidence, I will be resolving according to the text of the market title and will not resolve early.

@MichaelBlume now it’s odds Barbara Lee dies in the next two months

@MingweiSamuel or resigns, fails to show up for swearing in, gets removed for some reason, etc.

I am circulating a petition to recall Barbara Lee for not getting us the Oakland A's back, everyone please sign!

49k votes counted estimated 42k to go https://www.kqed.org/news/12036247/the-race-for-oakland-mayor-is-still-far-from-the-finish-line

Swing to Barbara Lee today on Polymarket as well, seemingly not on any public info https://polymarket.com/event/oakland-mayoral-special-election

https://californiaglobe.com/fr/san-jose-mayor-matt-mahan-makes-surprise-endorsement-of-loren-taylor-for-oakland-mayor/ includes mention of poll with Lee 45% Taylor 41%. Surprisingly close?

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan Makes Surprise Endorsement of Loren Taylor for Oakland Mayor – California Globe

@MikeLinksvayer this Fabian Robinson was added a day later than the other, so I am considering it a duplicate

@MichaelBlume whoops, and I added both of them. Fabian isn't going to win so I guess it won't matter.

Progressive stalwart Barbara Lee announces Oakland mayoral bid: SF Chronicle

Former Rep. Barbara Lee, a veteran of Congress and champion of progressive politics in the East Bay, has formed a campaign finance committee to run for mayor of Oakland.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/politics/government/former-rep-barbara-lee-quietly-forms-committee-to-run-for-oakland-mayor/ar-AA1x4EbG?ocid=BingNewsVerp

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/12/20/barbara-lee-oakland-mayor-00195775

Democratic Rep. Barbara Lee said Friday she will announce in early January whether she plans to run for mayor of Oakland as the city holds a special election following the recall of its last mayor.

...

Loren Taylor, a former city councilmember and moderate Democrat, is already running and would likely be Lee’s toughest competition. Meanwhile, Marshawn Lynch, a former NFL running back, has hinted he’s also considering jumping into the race, though he hasn’t made any announcements.

Even more from https://zenniereport.com/2024/12/09/whos-running-for-mayor-of-oakland-the-definitive-list-by-zennie-abraham-oakland-blogger/

Added more from https://oaklandside.org/2024/11/13/oakland-recall-mayor-election-candidates-2025/

Added people who have filed reported in https://www.sfgate.com/news/bayarea/article/former-city-council-staffer-renia-webb-to-run-in-19970421.php