French Parliament elections June-July 2024 megamarket

Basic

Ṁ3714

resolved Sep 6

ALL

Resolved

YES

I (Mich) happen to be physically in two different cities for first and second round

Resolved

YES

The Front Populaire coalition gets a relative majority

Resolved

YES

The next PM is not from the party / coalition with the most seats

Resolved

The new Prime Minister is a woman

Resolved

The party or coalition that gets the most votes during the first round also gets the most seats

Resolved

Gabriel Attal remains Prime Minister

Resolved

Any party or coalition has an absolute majority (>50% of seats)

Resolved

Renaissance (Emmanuel Macron's party) gets the highest number of seats but Gabriel Attal doesn't remain Prime Minister

Resolved

Renaissance (Emmanuel Macron's party) has more seats in the new parliament than in the previous one

Resolved

Renaissance keeps a relative majority

Resolved

Rassemblement National gets a relative majority

Resolved

Jordan Bardella is nominated Prime Minister by Emmanuel Macron but he declines

Emmanuel Macron just announced the dissolution of the Franch parliament. A new parliament is soon to be elected, and as a consequence a new Prime Minister should be designated. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/06/09/europe/macron-dissolves-french-parliament-europe-intl/index.html

Anticipated elections are supposed to happen on June 30th and July 7th. The way French Parliament elections work is roughly the following : France is tesselated in a lot of districts, each districts have two-rounds elections where the winner becomes a member of parliament. Normally, the Prime Minister is from the party that won the most seats.

#️ Politics

#Prop Bets

#France

Get

1,000

and

1.00

7 Comments

Sort by:

Gabriel Attal remains Prime Minister

bought Ṁ5 Gabriel Attal remain... YES

Gabriel Attal is staying

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/ck7gydwgvy8t

I (Mich) happen to be physically in two different cities for first and second round

bought Ṁ15 I (Mich) happen to b... YES

(This one will resolve YES)

bought Ṁ10 The Front Populaire ... NO

The market needs more liquidity

Mega markets are very expensive to fund. For liquidity best to do separate markets (especially if they close early)

@NicoDelon My mana broke ass can't make it crystal, sorry.

@Ziddletwix same for doing one market per option haha.

New options added ! Relative majority = party or coalition that has more seats than any other party or coalition taken separately. In case of a tie for a relative majority, both tied options resolve NO.

Comment hidden

Related questions

Related questions