French Parliament elections June-July 2024 megamarket
Basic
45
Ṁ3714
resolved Sep 6
Resolved
YES
I (Mich) happen to be physically in two different cities for first and second round
Resolved
YES
The Front Populaire coalition gets a relative majority
Resolved
YES
The next PM is not from the party / coalition with the most seats
Resolved
NO
The new Prime Minister is a woman
Resolved
NO
The party or coalition that gets the most votes during the first round also gets the most seats
Resolved
NO
Gabriel Attal remains Prime Minister
Resolved
NO
Any party or coalition has an absolute majority (>50% of seats)
Resolved
NO
Renaissance (Emmanuel Macron's party) gets the highest number of seats but Gabriel Attal doesn't remain Prime Minister
Resolved
NO
Renaissance (Emmanuel Macron's party) has more seats in the new parliament than in the previous one
Resolved
NO
Renaissance keeps a relative majority
Resolved
NO
Rassemblement National gets a relative majority
Resolved
NO
Jordan Bardella is nominated Prime Minister by Emmanuel Macron but he declines

Emmanuel Macron just announced the dissolution of the Franch parliament. A new parliament is soon to be elected, and as a consequence a new Prime Minister should be designated. https://edition.cnn.com/2024/06/09/europe/macron-dissolves-french-parliament-europe-intl/index.html

Anticipated elections are supposed to happen on June 30th and July 7th. The way French Parliament elections work is roughly the following : France is tesselated in a lot of districts, each districts have two-rounds elections where the winner becomes a member of parliament. Normally, the Prime Minister is from the party that won the most seats.

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bought Ṁ5 YES

Gabriel Attal is staying

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/ck7gydwgvy8t

bought Ṁ15 YES

(This one will resolve YES)

bought Ṁ10 NO

The market needs more liquidity

Mega markets are very expensive to fund. For liquidity best to do separate markets (especially if they close early)

@NicoDelon My mana broke ass can't make it crystal, sorry.

@Ziddletwix same for doing one market per option haha.

New options added ! Relative majority = party or coalition that has more seats than any other party or coalition taken separately. In case of a tie for a relative majority, both tied options resolve NO.

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