
Will a national referendum take place in 2025 in France?
11
1kṀ975Dec 31
27%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Article 11 of the French Constitution allows the President (or, since 2015, part of parliament along with a tenth of registered voters) to trigger a referendum on a legislative project.
In the midst of an unstable political climate, President Macron has alluded to eliciting the voters' opinion more directly this year [1]. Will he?
This question resolves YES if at least one national referendum vote (per Article 11) happens in 2025, and NO otherwise.
Only polling day counts, not announcements. Article 89 constitutional revisions don't count. A change in presidency doesn't matter either.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Emmanuel Macron resign as President of France before the end of 2025?
17% chance
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
14% chance
Will the French President of the Republic dissolve the National Assembly again before the end of 2025 ?
79% chance
When will France get a new Prime Minister? (october 2025 edition)
10/28/25
Will there be an ISIS terrorist attack in France in 2025?
34% chance
Will France deploy troops to fight in Ukraine by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will France become more authoritarian in 2025?
53% chance
Will there be another referendum in Australia on any issue before 2026?
2% chance
Will there be a 6th Republic in France before 2050?
41% chance
Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?
29% chance