Will there be a US financial crisis before July 1, 2023?
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From https://metaculus.com/questions/16641/us-financial-crisis-before-july-1-2023/
When Silicon Valley Bank collapsed, the St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index (STLFSI4) jumped to a value of 1.56, the highest value since 2020.
Since then, the Financial Stress Index has returned to typical levels, despite continued challenges in the banking system and concerns about the risks posed by Non-Bank Financial Institutions, also known as "shadow banks". Hank Paulson, the US Treasury secretary during the 2008 financial crisis, recently told the Financial Times:
We can never abolish financial crises. They will always happen.
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