From https://metaculus.com/questions/16420/india-acts-in-pakistan-by-2024-election/

At points, the Indian government has shown a tendency to use military operations around the time of important elections, possibly as a political strategy.

India has not declared a war on Pakistan, but the Indian government has executed two cross-border military operations in response to terrorist attacks, subsequently leveraging them as political tools to garner voter support. The first operation occurred in 2016 when India conducted ‘surgical strikes’ on terrorist camps in Pakistan-administered Kashmir, following the Uri attack that resulted in the deaths of 19 Indian soldiers. This event coincided with a critical state election in Uttar Pradesh, during which the ruling party campaigned on its tough stance against Pakistan. A similar move was repeated in 2019.

The second operation took place in 2019 when India launched an airstrike on a suspected militant training facility in Balakot, Pakistan, in response to a suicide bomber killing 40 Indian paramilitary personnel in Pulwama. This operation transpired during the general elections, and the ruling party once again emphasized its national security credentials while accusing the opposition of being soft on terrorism. These incidents suggest the possibility that India might initiate another military intervention against Pakistan before the next elections, particularly if faced with a similar provocation or a decline in popularity.

The next Indian general elections are expected to be held in April or May, 2024.