Will Liberalerna be more overrepresented among top-income voters in SCB PSU May 2026 than in May 2025?
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This market resolves YES if Liberalerna’s overrepresentation in the highest income group (top quintile, 81–100%) is higher in SCB’s Party Preference Survey (PSU) that is to be published on June 4th 2026 compared to the PSU from 2025. By overrepresentation is meant (L share in top income group) / (L share in total population)
Resolution criteria:
SCB’s official PSU tables for May 2025 and May 2026
If the ratio is higher in 2026 → YES
If lower or equal → NO
Data source:
SCB PSU (Partisympatiundersökningen), income breakdown tables
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