In my LessWrong essay "Nectome: All That I Know", I write: "... I am highly skeptical that the typical cryonics client's brain is adequately perfused in the regions that matter most. The brain's finest blood vessels — small penetrating end-arteries with no backup routes — are the first to be permanently blocked by ischemic clotting and blockage, and they feed broad swaths of cortex and white matter. Once the brain is dropped below freezing, I suspect that these vital areas are then shredded by ice."

This market will only resolve after the technology to revive people from cryo-stasis arrives and people preserved before the year 2026 are being considered for revival. If there is an expert consensus that most people preserved before 2026 with liquid nitrogen have extremely severe brain damage, such that significant aspects of their personality are forever lost, this market resolves YES. If there is a consensus that the majority of such cases are able to be revived without significant personality loss, such as by actually reviving such people, this resolves NO. If no ever consensus exists or the technology never is developed, this market will not resolve.

I expect that expert consensus is not hard to judge, but just to keep things impartial, I won't bet.

See also: