When will this market resolve? (mod 10)
7
100แน414Dec 31
46%
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Starting in two days (on October 19) I will generate a pseudorandom number from 1-20 at an arbitrary time every day. If that number is 20, I will resolve the market to
((<current day> - October 19) % 10 days) * 10% + 5%.
For example, if I roll a 20 on October 19, this market will resolve 5%. If I roll a 20 on October 20, this market will resolve 15%. If I roll a 20 on October 28, this market will resolve 95%. If I roll a 20 on October 29, this market will resolve 5%.
Update 2025-10-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Days start and end in EST (Eastern Standard Time) for the purpose of determining when the daily random number is generated.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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