Colombia elections: if Abelardo de la Espriella wins, will there be widespread violence in Colombia?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ13Dec 31
55%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES: will resolve as yes if more than 10 die because of violence directly attributed by mayor news site (El tiempo or el espectador).
NO: if less than 10 or not directly attributed to election violence
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