Ganador abelardo Update 2026-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves YES if Abelardo de la Espriella wins the Colombian presidency, and NO if he does not.

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 86% chance (50 traders, as of Jun 9, 2026).

Will Abelardo de la Espriella be the next president in Colombia?

MANIFOLD

Will Abelardo de la Espriella be the next president in Colombia?

Ṁ1kṀ20k

Jun 22

86%

chance

ALL

Ganador abelardo

Update 2026-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves YES if Abelardo de la Espriella wins the Colombian presidency, and NO if he does not.

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Latin America

LatAm & Caribbean

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@mods @EmanuelNunez why was this resolved? There’s a second round.

@JasonMendoza2008 agreed 100% mods please reopen

@szepvagy thanks to whoever reopened

@JasonMendoza2008 I've reopened the market tentatively, I'm curious to hear from the creator their intention for this market given their response to an earlier clarification. For now I think we should treat it like the title says and wait until the full election process is complete.

filled a Ṁ1 NO at 62% order

Why does this close after the first round? Shouldn’t this close at the end of June?

bought Ṁ7 YES

Evo morales ex presidente de Bolivia lo capturarán antes de que llegue octubre 2026

bought Ṁ5 NO

I assume this means "Will Abelardo de la Espriella win presidency"

Resolves yes if so, resolves no if not.

bought Ṁ20 YES

@Capital exacto

@EmanuelNunez Hi emanuel, I changed your market title so that users can clearly see what they're betting on.

I see you have commented some other market ideas below. Do you need help creating additional markets?

El resultado de las elecciones el domingo 31 de mayo en Colombia las ganará Abelardo y su gobierno actuará con medidas y reglamentos ,parecidos a los del gobierno de bukele

The current government of Díaz Canel in Cuba will be broken down this 2026 by the Trump administration, including that there will be attacks and capture of its top leaders