Will more than 15 people attend my Manifest talk on Sunday at 6 PM?
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resolved Sep 25
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YES

I'm giving a talk at Manifest 2023 about the biggest questions in AI forecasting on Sunday at 6 PM.

(I got moved onto the schedule at the last minute so that explains why you might not have seen me on the schedule.)

At some point in the talk I'll try to get a sense of how many people were listening to my talk at its peak. This may involve me taking a few seconds to count everyone. If it's unclear after the talk, I'll wait until reliable evidence emerges in some other form, such as pictures from the event or reliable witnesses. If there's credible doubt I'll resolve to N/A.

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predicted NO

My talk was moved to 6 PM for some reason.

bought Ṁ20 of YES

About 15 people came to mine, which was hard to find and not on the main track

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@DanielFilan but that's because you're a great speaker and we expected Grimes to be there ofc