MANIFOLD
By 2035, will mechanistic interpretability enable Nobel Prize-winning work?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ84
2034
37%
chance

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2035, a Nobel Prize in any category is awarded for work that explicitly utilizes mechanistic interpretability techniques in artificial intelligence, or explicitly dependent on work that utilizes mechanistic interpretability techniques.

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