By 2035, will mechanistic interpretability enable Nobel Prize-winning work? | Manifold

By 2035, will mechanistic interpretability enable Nobel Prize-winning work?

4

100Ṁ71

2034

42%

chance

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2035, a Nobel Prize in any category is awarded for work that explicitly utilizes mechanistic interpretability techniques in artificial intelligence, or explicitly dependent on work that utilizes mechanistic interpretability techniques.

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