Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?
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Alcor, founded in 1972, is one of two major cryonics organizations in the United States that cryopreserves people upon their legal deaths. You can find more about them on their about page: https://www.alcor.org/about/ A classic critique of cryonics is that the organizations may face bankruptcy, and be forced to thaw their patients. This question resolves to YES if Alcor goes bankrupt before any of their patients are revived. Otherwise, it resolves to NO. You can find more specific information about the history of brain preservation on this page by Metaculite Mati Roy: https://timelines.issarice.com/wiki/Timeline_of_brain_preservation LessWrong user Froolow wrote a financial analysis of Alcor: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/B8Lu238n4ReCcebhP/how-long-will-alcor-be-around See also this question for the Cryonics Insitute: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6616/cryonics-institute-to-go-bankrupt/ Jeff Kaufman maintains a spreadsheet of cryonics probability estimates, which you can find on this page: https://www.jefftk.com/p/more-cryonics-probability-estimates For the purpose of this question, a "patient" is a human body or brain that is being stored by a cryonics organization in the expectation of future revival. The revival of a patient at Alcor requires these two conditions. The patient must be either restored to normal physiological health or emulated on a computer, as determined by credible media. The patient must have been signed up with Alcor before their deanimation (or legal death), and must have been preserved at Alcor facilities for at least 90% of the duration of their preservation. Alcor is said to go bankrupt if credible media reports that they have gone banrkupt, and no credible contradiction of this claim is made by Alcor staff within one year of any report. Fine print: By its nature, this question's resolution will be pending indefinitely in the case that Alcor exists and has not gone bankrupt. If the Alcor ceases to exist, but not due to bankruptcy, then this question resolves to N/A. If Alcor changes its name, the new organization is used for resolution as if there was no name change. If Alcor merges into another organization, the resulting merged organization is used for resolution. I will ultimately resolve according to my own discretion.
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predicts NO
bought Ṁ20 of YES
Does this still resolve "Yes" if they declare bankruptcy but the "patients" are not thawed?
bought Ṁ20 of YES
partially because I seriously believe this, partially because they can go bankrupt in my lifetime and revival is not going to happen within my lifetime (or at least is vanishingly unlikely, even more that it will ever happen)

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