Will the creator earnings for this market exceed M$300?
10
3
Ṁ654
resolved Jun 26
Resolved
YES
Resolves to YES if the displayed "creator earnings" in the market info screen are higher than M$300 after market close. SneakySly's M$200 market has a pretty high probability right now, suggesting the market as a whole views that target as fairly easy to hit. Is M$300 still attainable?
Get Ṁ200 play money

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8 Comments
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predicted NO
Wait George why did you choose this one and not the M$200 one?
bought Ṁ50 of NO
My market in question: https://manifold.markets/SneakySly/will-the-creator-earnings-for-this
predicted NO
More research: https://manifold.markets/MattP/will-the-creator-earnings-for-this-b2c3b6800d38
bought Ṁ34 of NO
I am baffled by the bettor behavior here. Need to do some more research.
bought Ṁ40 of YES
@MattP Surprised you would stoop so low ;p
predicted NO
@GeorgeVii hey, no one's making anyone bet on stupid markets like this. :)
predicted YES
I thought you found them tedious haha
predicted NO
@GeorgeVii sometimes, for sure. And I don't think it's great for Manifold that they are so prevalent. But at the same time, I can think something is stupid and occasionally indulge in it myself. Plus, the returns. I'm currently sitting at guaranteed at least M$130 profit from this market (much, much more if the YES bettors don't come through and pump the earnings to the target), which is 30% better than if I'd just farmed the free one. I suspect this particular fad will only last a few days, so might as well test its limits while it's popular. xD