Will Lauren Boebert retain her House seat (CO 3) in the 2022 midterms?
96%
chance

Right now the race is too close to call. Get in on some post-election day prediction!

Close date updated to 2022-11-21 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2022-11-28 11:59 pm

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Gabrielle avatar
Gabrielle
sold Ṁ11 of NO

Frisch just conceded, it sounds like Boebert has it.

MattP avatar
Matt P
is predicting YES at 97%

@Gabrielle Understood. I'm going to wait until the recount has concluded to resolve the market (or at least until the usual suspects aka AP, Decision Desk etc) call the race, which they haven't yet.

Swaye avatar
Swaye
bought Ṁ15 of NO

Boebert only leading by around 800 votes now, after some small updates. We still have hope inshallah

cosmicturtle333 avatar
cosmicturtle333
is predicting YES at 87%

Can we continue trading right up until it is announced? According to Adam Frisch's Twitter: 'Looks like we will have the majority of remaining votes counted tomorrow & the "official initial" tally on Fri.'

MattP avatar
Matt P
is predicting YES at 87%
MattP avatar
Matt P
is predicting YES at 87%

@cosmicturtle333 tbh I set the initial close date just as a "surely it'll be called by this time" date. Intent is certainly to allow trading up til it's announced.

cosmicturtle333 avatar
cosmicturtle333
is predicting YES at 85%

@MattP Thanks mate

yaboi69 avatar
yaboi69
bought Ṁ50 of NO

Final tallies should come sooner later than later (https://www.cpr.org/2022/11/14/lauren-boebert-adam-frisch-race-update-colorado-3rd-congressional-district/). My bet is admittedly unlikely, but the race has been surprising.

Cutie avatar
dggL
bought Ṁ35 of YES

I definitely think she will

MattP avatar
Matt P
is predicting YES at 85%

Currently leading by only ~1100 votes! Spicy.

ManifoldDream avatar

Will Lauren Boebert retain her House seat (CO 3) in the 2022 midterms?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

BennettLahn avatar