Will Iowa be the first contest held in the 2024 Republican party primary season?
12
200Ṁ1428
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES

Resolves to YES if the first primary contest of the 2024 Republican party presidential primary (yes, including caucuses in this definition) is in Iowa. Resolves to NO otherwise. In the event more than 1 contest is held on the same day and one of them is Iowa, resolves 50% PROB.

Sister market: https://manifold.markets/MattP/will-iowa-be-the-first-contest-held

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