Will Iowa be the first contest held in the 2024 Republican party primary season?
12
38
200
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES

Resolves to YES if the first primary contest of the 2024 Republican party presidential primary (yes, including caucuses in this definition) is in Iowa. Resolves to NO otherwise. In the event more than 1 contest is held on the same day and one of them is Iowa, resolves 50% PROB.

Sister market: https://manifold.markets/MattP/will-iowa-be-the-first-contest-held

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predicted YES

@MattP This can resolve YES.

bought Ṁ1 of YES

@NcyRocks shouldn't this have resolved YES quite some time ago?

predicted YES

@Pykess Yep, but the official policy is to ping the market creator before mod resolution.