Will Iowa be the first contest held in the 2024 Republican party primary season?

12

200Ṁ1428

resolved Feb 1

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to YES if the first primary contest of the 2024 Republican party presidential primary (yes, including caucuses in this definition) is in Iowa. Resolves to NO otherwise. In the event more than 1 contest is held on the same day and one of them is Iowa, resolves 50% PROB.

Sister market: https://manifold.markets/MattP/will-iowa-be-the-first-contest-held

2024 US Presidential Election

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predictedYES

@MattP This can resolve YES.

@NcyRocks shouldn't this have resolved YES quite some time ago?

predictedYES

@Pykess Yep, but the official policy is to ping the market creator before mod resolution.

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