How many times will Trump and Harris' win chances have crossed in Nate Silver's forecast by election day?
9
1kαΉ13kresolved Nov 5
100%96%
5
0.1%
3
0.3%
4
3%
6
0.1%
7+
Resolves to the number of intersections (when plotted) between Trump and Harris' win chances in Nate Silver's model by 10 AM Central Time on election day. As of the creation of this question, they have crossed 3 times.
I will bet on this market as with any other.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000π Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ791 | |
| 2 | αΉ263 | |
| 3 | αΉ115 | |
| 4 | αΉ10 |
People are also trading
Sort by:
