꧁∙·▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫꧁ MarkMyWords Series ꧂▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫·∙꧂
The Mark My Words series takes actionable and popular posts from the Mark My Words subreddit and turns them into a prediction market. Hope you enjoy the format!
https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1fgdlay/mmw_melania_will_file_for_divorce_in_2025/
Resolution Criteria:
The market will resolve as "Yes" if:
Melania Trump officially files for divorce from Donald Trump in any U.S. court during the calendar year 2025
The filing is publicly confirmed by reputable news sources or official court records
The market will resolve as "No" if:
Melania Trump does not file for divorce from Donald Trump during the calendar year 2025
The Trumps remain legally married throughout 2025
The market will resolve as "Invalid" if:
Donald Trump passes away before or during 2025
Legal proceedings preventing a potential divorce filing are ongoing at the end of 2025
Resolution Sources:
Official court records
Statements from official representatives of the Trump family
Reports from major, reputable news organizations (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, New York Times, Wall Street Journal)
Closing Date:
This market will close for trading on December 31, 2025, or when an official divorce filing is confirmed, whichever comes first.Additional Notes:
The outcome is based solely on Melania Trump filing for divorce, not on the completion of divorce proceedings
Any reconciliation after a filing, if it occurs within 2025, does not change the "Yes" outcome
The reason for the divorce filing (if any is given) is not relevant to the resolution of this market
1,000