
This market will resolve as:
Yes if:
At least three major mainstream media outlets (e.g., CNN, MSNBC, New York Times, Washington Post, ABC News, CBS News, NBC News) publish articles or broadcast segments lending credibility to claims of widespread election or voter fraud that could have affected the outcome of the 2024 presidential election, OR
At least two of the following Democratic leaders make public statements expressing suspicion of widespread election or voter fraud that could have affected the outcome: President-elect Kamala Harris, former President Barack Obama, former President Joe Biden, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, or House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.
No if:
By January 20, 2025 (Inauguration Day), neither of the above conditions for "Yes" have been met.N/A if:
The election results are officially overturned through legal challenges before the inauguration, OR
Extraordinary circumstances prevent a clear determination of the above criteria.
The market will default to N/A unless the specific conditions for Yes or No are clearly met.
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"Lending credibility" requires EITHER:
1. Direct Assertions:
Using language that treats fraud claims as valid, such as:
- "Investigation reveals evidence of..."
- "Data shows patterns of..."
- "Analysis demonstrates..."
- "Evidence emerges of..."
- "Records indicate..."
OR
2. Sustained Sympathetic Coverage:
ALL of:
- At least 5 fraud claim mentions spanning 25%+ of article/segment
- 3+ of: references to "election integrity concerns", multiple uncontested fraud quotes, detailed irregularity descriptions, "mounting concerns", "statistical anomalies"
- 2+ of: minimal fact-checking, limited use of "alleged", fraud in headline/lead, uses "investigation" over "claims"
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ699 | |
2 | Ṁ516 | |
3 | Ṁ88 | |
4 | Ṁ0 |