If Gwern is interviewed by Dwarkesh Patel in the next 6 months, which of the following phrases or words will he say?

Plus

Ṁ826

2025

83%

Modafinil

79%

GANs

63%

Prediction markets

57%

Nootropics

55%

Effective altruism

55%

Independently Wealthy

50%

Embryo selection

50%

Gwern.net

50%

Woke

48%

Sample Efficiency

45%

Quantified self

45%

Bitcoin

45%

Silk Road

45%

Bacopa

45%

World Model

41%

Spaced repetition

41%

Social Justice

41%

Trump

36%

Darknet markets

36%

Dual n-back

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve based on the content of an interview between Dwarkesh Patel and Gwern, if it occurs before March 18, 2025.
The market will resolve as "Yes" for each phrase or word that Gwern explicitly says during the interview.
The market will resolve as "No" for options not mentioned.
If no interview occurs by March 18, 2025, all options will resolve as "N/A".
Resolution will be based on the published interview transcript or audio/video recording.

Closing Date: March 18, 2025, or when an interview is published, whichever comes first.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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