NOTE: this is the percentage of the recipients, not of the total federal workforce!

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1884374441456476408?s=46&t=AGFfmV2uDlPAeG-1asCMHw

I will go by the most widely publicized number found by the time the question closes, or extend it if we learn there is an official deadline for the offer that is longer out.

• Update 2025-01-29 (PST): - If there is a published number of people that sent the “resign” reply, the question resolves to that percentage, whether or not the resignations stick. (AI summary of creator comment)

• Update 2025-02-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator:

  • Scenario A: If the official deadline ends before the current close date (Feb 27), the market will resolve to the officially announced percentage retroactive to that deadline (even if published later).

  • Scenario B: If the deadline is delayed beyond Feb 27, the market will close on Feb 27 and resolve using the most broadly publicized unofficial number from well-known media sources as of that date.

  • Scenario C: If scenario A occurs but then a clear second round starts before market close, that additional round is out of scope and the resolution remains as described in Scenario A.