3. More Mistake Fares in 2023 than 2022.
12
250Ṁ261
resolved Dec 29
Resolved
YES

(Edit: 2023-01-16) Don't just predict this one, please check out the other 12 travel predictions! Thanks! https://manifold.markets/group/scotts-cheap-flights-going-2023-pre

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In 2022, we found 7 Mistake Fares for members. These included Iceland for $100 roundtrip, London/Amsterdam for $174 roundtrip, and Tokyo for $316 roundtrip. I’m predicting at least 8 this year.


(60% confidence)

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This is question #3 from Scott Keyes' annual travel predictions at Scott's Cheap Flights (now Going).

Since Scott resolved and graded his 2022 predictions before the end of 2022, I am setting the close date ahead of the end of the year, to (try to) avoid a situation where he posts the resolutions before the market closes. In the event that his resolution post falls in 2024, my apologies in advance. If he hasn't posted resolutions at all by February 1, 2024, I will do my best to resolve them personally, and set N/A for any questions that I can't determine with outside (non-Going) source data.

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