Exactly what it says on the tin. Resolves YES if I get invited to IPhO 2025, and NO otherwise.

[NOTE: IF I DON'T GO TO PHYSICS CAMP, THIS RESOLVES NO.]

Past results:

2023 IPhO Gold + special prize for top theory score internationally (30.0/30 theory, 10.1/20 experiment).

2022, 2023, and 2024 USAPhO Gold + US Physics Team (top 20) invitee; went in only 2023 due to time conflicts with MOP.

Also a decentish amount of competition math experience, not that it matters.

Notes:

This automatically resolves NO if I don't accept an invitation to the 2025 US Physics Team ("physics camp") because I would thus be ineligible for IPhO selection. The above will most likely happen if I make IMO 2025.

In other words, expect the market to jump by +- 30-40% in late April.