For 2022, see https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KTEciTeFwL2tTujZk/lw-petrov-day-2022-monday-9-26

Resolves Yes if there is a big red button or some equivalent and it is used for some destructive effect. The destructive effect could be taking down a home page or something else equivalent. Equivalence is based on my subjective judgment if there is a dispute.

I will not bet on this market.

Sep 26, 5:02pm: if the home page goes down and then comes back up again I expect to consider that a destructive effect. If the button is pressed via a security vulnerability, social engineering, or some other mistake, I expect to consider that a use of the button.