Will AI wipe out humanity before the Republicans elect a House Speaker?
17
Ṁ250Ṁ3.1kresolved Oct 25
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If a human Republican House Speaker is elected with the support of a majority of Representative then this market resolves to NO. Only a full Speaker counts, eg third in line to presidency. Democrats, Independents, AIs, aliens, and lizard people do not count.
If humanity is not around but AI(s) are then this market resolves to YES.
If neither humanity nor AIs are around then this market does not resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ37 | |
| 2 | Ṁ6 | |
| 3 | Ṁ6 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
17% chance
Will 3 or more Democrats flip seats in the 2026 midterm elections by running on anti-AI sentiment?
72% chance
Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?
6% chance
Will any member of "The Squad" become Speaker of the House before 2033?
19% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
17% chance
Will 3 or more Democrats flip seats in the 2026 midterm elections by running on anti-AI sentiment?
72% chance
Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?
6% chance
Will any member of "The Squad" become Speaker of the House before 2033?
19% chance