When will a vulcanic eruption start in the Reykjanes peninsula, Iceland
28
996Ṁ9796resolved Nov 23
100%98%
Not before Nov 23rd
0.0%
Nov 13th or earlier
0.1%
Nov 14th - Nov 16th
0.1%
Nov 17th - Nov 19th
2%
Nov 20th - Nov 22nd
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-67387827
Based on official statements of Icelandic authorities/vulcanology society (whichever is more detailed)
Iceland local time determines date. Will resolve to the last option immediately if no eruption is observed by Nov 23rd.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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