Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Farmer–Citizen Movement (BoerBurgerBeweging, BBB) secures at least 3 seats in the House of Representatives during the Dutch general election scheduled for 29 October 2025. Official election results published by the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad) will serve as the primary source for resolution. If the BBB wins fewer than 3 seats, the market will resolve to "No".

Background

The Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB) is an agrarian and right-wing populist political party in the Netherlands, founded in 2019 by Caroline van der Plas. The party gained significant attention during the 2023 provincial elections, where it won the popular vote and secured the most seats in all twelve provinces. In the 2023 general election, the BBB obtained 7 seats in the House of Representatives, marking a substantial increase from its previous representation. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

Recent political developments, including the collapse of the Schoof cabinet in June 2025 due to disagreements over asylum policy, have led to the scheduling of early general elections in October 2025. (apnews.com) These events may influence voter sentiment and the performance of various political parties, including the BBB, in the upcoming election.