The last market had less-than-great resolution criteria. Hopefully this one will be a little better!

For the purposes of this market:

• "Notable" means any of the following:

  • At least 3 of CNN, the New York Times, NBC News, Reuters, AP News, Fox News, USA Today, BBC, or NPR call the accident a "crash,"

  • The accident leaves 10 or more dead or 15 or more injured,

  • Someone with a Wikipedia page is killed.

• "US" means that the plane was in US airspace at the time of the crash, or international airspace having taken off from the US.

• "Plane" includes (but is not limited to) jumbo jets, helicopters, private aircraft, cargo planes, commercial aircraft, medevac flights, etc.

• "Crash" typically means a plane hits ground violently (or the ocean, or trees, or buildings, etc.). It does not include other kinds of accident (such as, for example, a plane colliding with a vehicle, an on-ground fire, a cargo hold fire with a successful emergency landing on a runway, or in-air turbulence that results in deaths), but would include particularly violent on-ground accidents that involve a collision at speed (such as overshooting the runway and hitting a building).