🏅 Top traders

@traders By popular demand, I'm doing one for this week, too. Surely some crazy shit won't happen FOUR weeks in a row, right...?

Trump posted and then deleted a message for Pam Bondi demanding she prosecute his enemies more aggressively.

@TiredCliche is this real?

@jcb I asked the same thing when I saw it. CNN reported on it and apparently a reporter asked him a question and he responded to it. So seems real yeah

Make the next one already! There's no way crazy shit happens 4 weeks in a row

okay I agree now, this is crazy

Maybe the next market should be about how many crazy things happen, given that it would've be fun to discuss if some other crazy thing happens throught this week.

@Marnix we should make a collab market like “will some crazy shit that both of us agree is crazy happen?”

I agree with this resolution for the record, the Kimmel firing is pretty crazy, although it’s just barely across that threshold

@bens it's only thursday

I agree for these sorts of markets the creator should indicate it's their subjective opinion in the title. Like [creator's opinion] or something

@Dulaman i think it is very clear from the current title that this resolves to the creator’s opinion, and adding “[creator’s opinion]” would be a redundant.

for intrinsically subjective questions like this, the default is the creator’s opinion. (not because I think that’s good or something, just… what else could it even be?). if they want to surprise us and resolve to something else (a poll or something I guess) then the description can clarify that.

@Ziddletwix but what about people who can't read?

@Dulaman ppl that can’t read are not on Manifold due to the anthropic principle

@Ziddletwix it IS the first thing in the description, tbf. I would be willing to do a poll but it's much more fun if there's the possibility of me getting drawn and quartered for a terrible take

@bens I'd be down to do this, by the way!

@Marnix please make another one for next week too

@BabaGhanoush i think I will! This market was fun

Kimmel and Trump designating Antifa (which isn't an organization) as a terrorist organization would have both been enough for this resolution, imo. Another insane week in Trumps America

@tobiasscheuer The Antifa one isn’t an example as he’s done the ssme back in his first term.

I've got a terrible head cold, I'm gonna sleep on this and look at the Kimmel stuff a bit closer tomorrow morning, but hooo man this looking like some crazy shit

@Marnix ok, i lied, i actually did some looking at it now. I think I gotta resolve this yes. This is just a straight up threat to broadcasters? And then ABC acted on it?? My first reaction reading the article here was "what the fuck is going on," so I think this shit's crazy enough for a YES.

Apparently Tucker Carlson (?!) is currently accusing Trump of using the Charlie Kirk assassination as an excuse to destroy the first amendment, which, like, that sentence feels like a whole YES resolution on its own. That sounds like some shit I'd have written as a bit five years ago. I feel like I kinda have to resolve YES here

@Marnix time to create next week's market?

@jcb It's only Thursday! There's plenty of time for some more crazy shit to happen this week!

@Marnix ABC acted on some of their member stations pulling Kimmel after FCC threats.

Carlson did not accuse Trump, the clip you're talking about is one where he says bad actors shouldn't be allowed to use this to pass hate speech laws.

Just to clarify

@TiredCliche ah, okay, I'm guessing that was just in response to Bondi briefly saying she'd "go after hate crime" before walking it back then? Less crazy, but still, this is definitely some crazy shit imo

@Marnix Time for a "will more crazy shit happen this week?" then?

@Marnix Probably, but he was doing his usual brave thing of being allergic to naming a name or specific thing.

What will follow from this crazy shit? https://manifold.markets/jcb/what-will-happen-following-the-susp