I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless Joshua's and Shuckle's markets resolve the same way

100Ṁ1068

Jul 31

48%

chance

ALL

(alternative title: Will Joshua's market resolve the same way as Shuckle's market?)

based on the transitive property I guess this one is medium mode

Update 2025-07-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the market title is the correct resolution criteria, overriding previous conflicting statements in the comments.

This market will resolve based on the final resolution of the two referenced markets:

If both markets resolve the same way (both YES, or both NO), this market will resolve YES.
If the markets resolve differently (one YES, one NO), this market will resolve NO.

Update 2025-07-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that if both referenced markets resolve to N/A, this will be considered 'the same way', and this market will resolve YES.

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Is N/A equal to N/A ("the same way") in your formulation?

@AnT Yes!

I'm starting to understand why these markets entertain me. They're 1-player Nash Pits!

Is this just NXOR'ing the markets?

Wait, no. This is XOR.

Comment hidden

@Marnix A fellow XOR enjoyer. A Manifolder of culture.

I think I made a market tag for that at some point. It would entertain me to see it here.

XOR Markets

@Marnix I'm confused, the title implies that if the markets do not resolve the same way, you resolve NO. However, if it's an XOR, one market resolving YES and the other NO would cause you to resolve YES. Which one is it?

@CollinMatthews wait, you're right, this is actually XNOR. To clarify, this market resolves YES if it's the same and NO if they're different. (I'm on a train today so I'm a little scatterbrained)