The people have spoken.  They like the funny markets where somebody says "oh geez, I'm a tough cookie who's totally gonna resolve this market NO, you can bet your bottom buckaroo on that"

https://manifold.markets/bens/i-will-resolve-this-market-no-at-th?r=UG93ZXJUcmljaw

https://manifold.markets/Joshua/i-will-resolve-this-market-no-at-th-LZpn8gEOus?r=UG93ZXJUcmljaw

Well hold onto your hats, because ShuckleLord's getting in on this one.  And unlike these other posters, I'ma be blunt, I'm easily amused and persuaded.  Y'all are gonna have an easy time convincing me to pick YES.  Unless someone comes out with an argument for NO being funnier.  Honestly, I'm just here for the memes.

I don't negotiate with terrorists, keep it fun, keep it fresh.

shortly after close.  Unless I am persuaded to resolve it 

Market will close on August 1st, and then I will make my decision.  And I'm gonna resolve it no.  Totally.  Probably.

Check out my ledger for this market here!  Updated semi-frequently

🧃🐌 Shucklephiliac Prioritization Principle

On the second evening of July, 2025, at the divine suggestion of 

, to encourage proper reverence for the mightiest of Pokémon, from hence forward this market now operates under the Shucklephiliac prioritization principle outlined below:

A Shucklephiliac is a Manifold user renowned for adoring Shuckle.  

1) Publicly acknowledge that Shuckle is their favorite Pokémon

2) Share some equivalent tribute to the great shelled one, such as a piece of fanart, tattoo, or rare collectable

Additionally, they must not blaspheme against Shuckle - doing so will cause their Shucklephiliac status to be revoked until atonement is made.

Market creator ShuckleLord will maintain a ledger of current and former Shucklephiliacs.  

Market entrants will be responsible for bringing acknowledgements and blasphemies of themselves or other users to ShuckleLord's attention.

For comments, suggestions, and arguments posed by market entrants, I will prioritize the input of known Shucklephilacs higher than other entrants.

For the purposes of charitable offerings, bribes, or other reasons where an entrant is providing a monetary figure, I will value a contribution offered by a Shucklephiliac at

For example, if a user offered me 10 Mana to resolve this market NO, I would be swayed by an offer of 5 mana from a certified Shucklephiliac to resolve YES instead.

was first person to correctly tell me why I chose a 2.3x multiplier specifically, and has qualified as a Shucklephilaic)

 has purchased the right to make a counteroffer on my final decision.  I will notify them 24 hours before I would otherwise resolve the market.  They will have that much time to propose a counteroffer before I resolve.  I will only resolve after hearing a counteroffer or 24 hours have passed.

If you're thinking to yourself "gee whiz, ShuckleLord, I wish I was clever and could have thought of that", don't worry.  You, too, can be notified and included in the Jannes Counteroffer Contingency.  Send me 230 Mana (or 166 Mana if you're a verified Shucklephiliac), and I will grant you exclusive access to the counteroffer club

A significantly larger offer might persuade the creator to resolve the market early, acting as a 

This is considered a valid persuasion goal, similar to convincing the creator to resolve 