Conditional on Russia using nuclear weapons by 2025, will China officially condemn Russia, announce the end of the partnership, and - in the perception of NATO consensus - act accordingly?
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Dec 31
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chance

Arguments against the idea that Russia will use nuclear weapons in the war with Ukraine often focus on the diplomatic implications for Russia's allies, especially India and China. It is often assumed that they would immediately condemn Russia and participate in its isolation.

This question will be clarified on 2024-12-31, 23:59, when China will cut off relations with Russia as a consequence in the event of nuclear weapons use by Russia in any place and act accordingly through economic, diplomatic, or military measures. Whether China acts in accordance with its condemnatory rhetoric will be assessed by consensus in NATO.

If more than five NATO countries, including at least either the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, or France, believe that China is not genuinely willing to isolate Russia, the answer will be "no."

If the underlying condition of this question is not happening, this question will be answered as "N/A"

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