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I'll resolve this after his concession speech

Time decay

Starting to have doubts about this - he's been going on Infowars a lot lately, which suggests to me that he might be doing a Tulsi here

He'll come in fourth in Iowa, fail to reach 10% in any polls, fail to qualify for the NH debate, and drop out

@Marnix sound logic, but I don’t think he’s runnning for president in ‘24, I think he’s running for a tv hosting gig, or for name recognition.

Also he’s super wealthy. Anyways, this is a low confidence bet, you’ll probably take my mana

@mattyb You're undoubtedly right (I personally think he's running for Senate or an appointment of some sort), but I feel like if he gets trounced, like really trounced, he'll probably bow out