96
546
แน€1.2K
resolved Jan 16
Resolved
YES

Before the first votes in Dixville Notch are cast.

Get แน€200 play money

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bought แน€632 of YES

I'll resolve this after his concession speech

bought แน€60 of NO

Time decay

sold แน€31 of YES

Starting to have doubts about this - he's been going on Infowars a lot lately, which suggests to me that he might be doing a Tulsi here

bought แน€10 of YES

He'll come in fourth in Iowa, fail to reach 10% in any polls, fail to qualify for the NH debate, and drop out

bought แน€15 of NO

@Marnix sound logic, but I donโ€™t think heโ€™s runnning for president in โ€˜24, I think heโ€™s running for a tv hosting gig, or for name recognition.

Also heโ€™s super wealthy. Anyways, this is a low confidence bet, youโ€™ll probably take my mana

predicted YES

@mattyb You're undoubtedly right (I personally think he's running for Senate or an appointment of some sort), but I feel like if he gets trounced, like really trounced, he'll probably bow out

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