Will Trump be convicted with a felony or misdemeanor by August 1, 2024?
47
110
1.1K
Aug 2
72%
Felony
4%
Misdemeanor
23%
No judgment (acquittal, mistrial, delay)

Resolves to whether Trump is convicted of a felony or a misdemeanor by August 1.

If he’s found guilty of felonies and misdemeanors, on the same day, this will resolve felony.

If no judgment is issued by August 1 (including mistrials and delays), or he’s acquitted, resolves to No judgment.

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Based on opening arguments, Team Trump is not going for the misdemeanor. Personally, that’s an incredibly foolish move that has a high chance of costing him the election. He could have probably gotten away with probation instead of jail time.

Felony only market

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