Will one candidate win all 7 swing states? | Manifold

Will one candidate win all 7 swing states?

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resolved Nov 8

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves yes if either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump win all 7 of NC, GA, WI, MI, PA, NV, and AZ

Split Ticket says 51%

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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Please resolve soon. It's pretty close to the statistically impossible threshold for Trump NOT to win all swing states

@nixtoshi I agree. Not sure why AP hasn’t called them yet though https://www.wwno.org/2024-11-06/the-associated-press-will-not-make-calls-in-two-swing-states-anytime-soon

Can arbitrage here with predicting the exact outcome: /Ziddletwix/which-exact-combination-of-the-7-sw

Created this new market for Team “Trump wins everything except NV” and Team “Harris wins everything except AZ”

Arb:

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