Which EXACT combination of the 7 swing states will Trump win?
56
2.2kแน10kresolved Nov 10
100%19%
Wins all 7
15%
Loses all 7
1.2%
Loses only NV (wins the other 6)
0.9%
Loses only WI (wins the other 6)
1.4%
Loses only MI (wins the other 6)
4%
Loses only WI & MI (wins the other 5)
18%
Loses only WI, MI, & PA (wins the other 4)
18%
Wins only AZ, GA, & NC (loses the other 4)
2%
Wins only AZ (loses the other 6)
0.7%
Loses only NC (wins the other 6)
0.7%
Wins only AZ & NV (loses the other 5)
19%Other
The 7 "swing states" are: Arizona (AZ), Georgia (GA), North Carolina (NC), Nevada (NV), Pennsylvania (PA), Michigan (MI), & Wisconsin (WI).
You can add options, but they must specify a unique combination of states (& I may edit the wording).
Resolves according to the AP call for each state.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน2,329 | |
| 2 | แน681 | |
| 3 | แน372 | |
| 4 | แน194 | |
| 5 | แน189 |
People are also trading
Sort by:
Wins all 7 - 24.4%
Loses only WI, MI, & PA (wins the other 4) - 2.2%
Loses all 7 - 15.3%
Wins only AZ, GA, & NC (loses the other 4) - 2.9%
Loses only NV (wins the other 6) - 4.6%
Loses only WI & MI (wins the other 5) - 1.9%
Wins only AZ (loses the other 6) - 3.4%
Wins only AZ & NV (loses the other 5) - 1.9%
Loses only WI (wins the other 6) - 2.6%
Loses only MI (wins the other 6) - 1.9%
Loses only NC (wins the other 6) - 0.5%