Which EXACT combination of the 7 swing states will Trump win?
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Ṁ10kin 19 minutes
19%
Wins all 7
19%
18%
Loses only WI, MI, & PA (wins the other 4)
18%
Wins only AZ, GA, & NC (loses the other 4)
15%
Loses all 7
4%
Loses only WI & MI (wins the other 5)
1.9%
Wins only AZ (loses the other 6)
1.4%
Loses only MI (wins the other 6)
1.2%
Loses only NV (wins the other 6)
The 7 "swing states" are: Arizona (AZ), Georgia (GA), North Carolina (NC), Nevada (NV), Pennsylvania (PA), Michigan (MI), & Wisconsin (WI).
You can add options, but they must specify a unique combination of states (& I may edit the wording).
Resolves according to the AP call for each state.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Wins all 7 - 24.4%
Loses only WI, MI, & PA (wins the other 4) - 2.2%
Loses all 7 - 15.3%
Wins only AZ, GA, & NC (loses the other 4) - 2.9%
Loses only NV (wins the other 6) - 4.6%
Loses only WI & MI (wins the other 5) - 1.9%
Wins only AZ (loses the other 6) - 3.4%
Wins only AZ & NV (loses the other 5) - 1.9%
Loses only WI (wins the other 6) - 2.6%
Loses only MI (wins the other 6) - 1.9%
Loses only NC (wins the other 6) - 0.5%Related questions
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