What will Trump's vote share be in the South Carolina primary? (Each resolves individually)
#Politics#US Politics#2024 US Presidential Election#Trump#New Hampshire Primary#South Carolina
64
867
Ṁ2.5k
resolved Feb 26
Resolved
YES
55% or higher
Resolved
NO
60% or higher
Resolved
NO
65% or higher
Resolved
NO
70% or higher
Resolved
NO
75% or higher
Resolved
NO
80% or higher
Resolved
NO
85% or higher

Based on NYT results. No rounding, it has to be 55.000... percent or greater for 55% or higher to resolve Yes.

More options up to 85 have been added.

Get Ṁ600 play money

Related questions

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,692
2Ṁ273
3Ṁ147
4Ṁ113
5Ṁ91
11 Comments
56 Holders
408 Trades
Sort by:

That Richland county margin is bothering me. The SCVotes site says 100% reporting so I don’t know where AP/NYT or DDHQ are saying Richland still has votes to be counted. I am giving them until Monday 5pm ET to show Richland as fully reported, otherwise I’ll go off the SOS data and resolve 60% as No

@MarkHamill Sounds fair, thanks for the update!

The Greenville county margin will determine if it is under or over 60%.

bought Ṁ507 60% or higher NO

@thepurplebull Looks like there were just enough Haley votes in Greenville:

Currently at 59.999...

@MarkHamill can we get a few more options? Maybe 70 and 75?

@Joshua I can’t add more to this market, but I’ll make a new one

@MarkHamill Wait try again now

@Joshua I have attempted flipping the switch with mod powers

@Joshua Oh shoot I already created one! Let me try.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/south-carolina/

Related in Politics

See more Politics questions

Related in US Politics

See more US Politics questions

Related in 2024 US Presidential Election

See more 2024 US Presidential Election questions

Related in Trump

See more Trump questions

Related in New Hampshire Primary

See more New Hampshire Primary questions

More related questions