What will Trump's vote share be in the South Carolina primary? (Each resolves individually)
64
2.5kṀ33k
resolved Feb 26
Resolved
YES
55% or higher
Resolved
NO
60% or higher
Resolved
NO
65% or higher
Resolved
NO
70% or higher
Resolved
NO
75% or higher
Resolved
NO
80% or higher
Resolved
NO
85% or higher

Based on NYT results. No rounding, it has to be 55.000... percent or greater for 55% or higher to resolve Yes.

More options up to 85 have been added.

Politics
US Politics
Trump
2024 US Presidential Election
South Carolina
New Hampshire Primary
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That Richland county margin is bothering me. The SCVotes site says 100% reporting so I don’t know where AP/NYT or DDHQ are saying Richland still has votes to be counted. I am giving them until Monday 5pm ET to show Richland as fully reported, otherwise I’ll go off the SOS data and resolve 60% as No

@MarkHamill Sounds fair, thanks for the update!

The Greenville county margin will determine if it is under or over 60%.

bought Ṁ507 NO

@thepurplebull Looks like there were just enough Haley votes in Greenville:

Currently at 59.999...

@MarkHamill can we get a few more options? Maybe 70 and 75?

@Joshua I can’t add more to this market, but I’ll make a new one

@MarkHamill Wait try again now

@Joshua I have attempted flipping the switch with mod powers

@Joshua Oh shoot I already created one! Let me try.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/south-carolina/

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