Will the extent of Antarctic sea ice for every day in September 2023 be the lowest in recorded history?

13

250Ṁ38k

resolved Oct 1

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The question resolves based on the Antarctic Sea Ice Extent reported by the National Snow & Ice Data Center.

The question resolves Yes if the Antarctic Sea Ice Extent is less on every single day from September 1st, 2023 to September 30th, 2023 compared to the same dates in all years since satellite tracking started in 1979.

The question immediately resolves No if the extent of Antarctic Sea Ice for any date between September 1, 2023 and September 30, 2023 exceeds the extent for the same day in any year between 1979 and 2022.

Fine Print

Forecasters exploring the data from the resolution source should be sure to switch the sea ice extent to "Antarctic."

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ49
2		Ṁ37
3		Ṁ36
4		Ṁ20
5		Ṁ16

People are also trading

When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?

Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?

When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?

Minimum Antarctic sea ice extent this century? (in square kilometers)

Will scientists find a continuous, million-year ice core in Antarctica by 2028?

Will the ice caps be bigger in July 2024 than July 2023?

Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?

Sort by:

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/18069/sep-2023-lowest-antarctic-sea-ice-in-history/

Cool question!

In addition to switching to "Antarctic", forecasters should also press "show all years": the "2022 (Record minimum)" red line is far from the minimum for every day of the year.

@StevenK mostly, 2016 and 1986 will be the years to beat

People are also trading

When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?

Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?

When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?

Minimum Antarctic sea ice extent this century? (in square kilometers)

Will scientists find a continuous, million-year ice core in Antarctica by 2028?

Will the ice caps be bigger in July 2024 than July 2023?

Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?

Related questions

When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?

Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?

When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?

Minimum Antarctic sea ice extent this century? (in square kilometers)

Will scientists find a continuous, million-year ice core in Antarctica by 2028?

Will the ice caps be bigger in July 2024 than July 2023?

Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules