Will the extent of Antarctic sea ice for every day in September 2023 be the lowest in recorded history?
10
closes Oct 2
97%
chance

The question resolves based on the Antarctic Sea Ice Extent reported by the National Snow & Ice Data Center.

The question resolves Yes if the Antarctic Sea Ice Extent is less on every single day from September 1st, 2023 to September 30th, 2023 compared to the same dates in all years since satellite tracking started in 1979.

The question immediately resolves No if the extent of Antarctic Sea Ice for any date between September 1, 2023 and September 30, 2023 exceeds the extent for the same day in any year between 1979 and 2022.

Fine Print

Forecasters exploring the data from the resolution source should be sure to switch the sea ice extent to "Antarctic."

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BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwards

Cool question!

StevenK avatar
Steven

In addition to switching to "Antarctic", forecasters should also press "show all years": the "2022 (Record minimum)" red line is far from the minimum for every day of the year.

1 reply
StevenK avatar
Stevenbought Ṁ10 of NO

@StevenK mostly, 2016 and 1986 will be the years to beat