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Will Manifold reach 2000 daily active users (7d average) by June 1st?
MarcusAbramovitch avatar
Marcus Abramovitch
27
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES as soon as Manifold reaches a 7-day average of at least 2000 DAU (daily active users).

Resolves NO if that threshold has not been reached on or before June 1st 2023.

The data source will be the Manifold stats page! For reference, Manifold DAU as of this market's creation is ~1100 with a peak of 1971.

Manifold Users
Manifold User Retention
Manifold

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#NameTotal profit
1
KatjaGrace avatarKatja Grace
Ṁ4,908
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MarcusAbramovitch avatarMarcus Abramovitch
Ṁ261
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Mira avatarMira
Ṁ99
4
Nick11235 avatarNick11235
Ṁ43
5
WE avatarWE
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MarcusAbramovitch avatar
Marcus Abramovitchpredicted NO at 0.2%

Fyi, manifold stats seem go have stopped being published as of May 23rd. I will ask manifold to verify results

MarcusAbramovitch avatar
Marcus Abramovitchpredicted NO at 0.2%

@JamesGrugett any chance you can update (privately or publicly)

JamesGrugett avatar
Jamespredicted YES at 0.2%

@MarcusAbramovitch Oh totally didn't notice it was broken. We'll fix it and get back to you

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