Resolution source will be Our World in Data.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population?time=2004..latest&country=IND~CHN
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YES!!! India will have a larger population than China on December 31, 2023. This is due to the contrasting demographic trends: China's working-age population is expected to peak and decline, indicating a slowdown in population growth. India's number of working-age adults is projected to continue increasing through the mid-century. Additionally, India’s younger population under age 25, while a smaller proportion compared to China, still constitutes a significant number that contributes to continued population growth. Therefore, these trends suggest India's overall population growth is outpacing China's.
@BTE
1. I am going by the resolution source.
2. Since it is still possible for it to reverse (china could overtake back) i won't be resolving this market yet
@MarcusAbramovitch It's not really possible since China has acknowledged population decline. But I totally get it and assumed so.
@BTE I agree. There are other events though. Like India could face massive decline from a famine, catastrophic event (nuke, disease, etc.) that kills millions. I would like to highly discourage anyone from manipulating this market to cause such an event.
