Will India have a larger population than China on December 31st 2023.
81
1.5kแน€28k
resolved Dec 30
Resolved
YES

Resolution source will be Our World in Data.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population?time=2004..latest&country=IND~CHN

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no way china's going to overtake india

YES!!! India will have a larger population than China on December 31, 2023. This is due to the contrasting demographic trends: China's working-age population is expected to peak and decline, indicating a slowdown in population growth. India's number of working-age adults is projected to continue increasing through the mid-century. Additionally, Indiaโ€™s younger population under age 25, while a smaller proportion compared to China, still constitutes a significant number that contributes to continued population growth. Therefore, these trends suggest India's overall population growth is outpacing China's.

References: https://www.un.org/development/desa/dpad/publication/un-desa-policy-brief-no-153-india-overtakes-china-as-the-worlds-most-populous-country/

predictedYES

@BTE
1. I am going by the resolution source.
2. Since it is still possible for it to reverse (china could overtake back) i won't be resolving this market yet

@MarcusAbramovitch It's not really possible since China has acknowledged population decline. But I totally get it and assumed so.

predictedYES

@BTE I agree. There are other events though. Like India could face massive decline from a famine, catastrophic event (nuke, disease, etc.) that kills millions. I would like to highly discourage anyone from manipulating this market to cause such an event.

predictedYES

March 30, 2023: Putin agrees to sell Russia to China for $0.39 per acre. China receives an immediate 140MM population boost.

I had to go investigate their actual sources for the population data, but it seems good enough to resolve positively.

Will India have a larger population than China on December 31st 2023., 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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