On Oct 24, 2023 the California DMV announced they had suspended Cruise’s driverless taxis in SF, citing safety concerns (see https://x.com/Cruise/status/1716877217995894934?s=20).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cruise relaunches its driverless taxi operations in San Francisco by Sept 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “relaunch” requires Cruise to resume driverless operations in San Francisco, and does not include mere tests and demonstrations.
The resolution source will be information from Cruise, in addition to credible media reporting.
Arbitrage opportunity.
Cruise stated that they would focus on one city, which city is unknown.
https://manifold.markets/aimless_intent/which-city-will-cruise-focus-on-for