This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal is successfully brokered with Hamas for the release of hostages by 11:59 PM ET on November 1, 2023. The hostages may be from any country and the deal can be brokered by any entity. A "successful deal" is defined as an agreement that results in the release of one or more hostages currently held by Hamas. The deal must be verifiable through credible reporting or the respective governments of the hostages. If no such deal is brokered by the resolution date, the market will resolve to "No". If a deal is brokered before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ527 | |
| 2 | Ṁ110 | |
| 3 | Ṁ14 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 |
@MarcusAbramovitch Visual evidence of the hostage’s release: https://x.com/barakravid/status/1715463311427281361?s=46&t=WKRyFNaUStQaXCTlWvKsEA
https://x.com/yossi_melman/status/1715430349675597915?s=46&t=WKRyFNaUStQaXCTlWvKsEA
Yehudit and Natlie Raanan were released from their captivity by Hamas but ten other members of the Raanan family are still hostages in Gaza
@Shump I asked in another one of @MarcusAbramovitch's markets if there was "quid pro quo" required. I think a literal reading of the criteria here says it's not needed?
A "successful deal" is defined as an agreement that results in the release of one or more hostages currently held by Hamas.
Seems like they agreed with Qatar to release some hostages, and that's all that's needed?