This market resolves YES if Louisiana Amendment 1 (Do you support an amendment to allow the surviving spouse of a deceased veteran with a service-connected disability, who receives the additional property tax exemption, to make a one-time transfer of the additional property tax exemption to a subsequent qualifying property? (Effective January 1, 2027) (Amends Article VII, Section 21(K)(1))) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
Simple majority of electors voting on the amendment statewide (La. Const. art. XIII §1(C)); no local-majority requirement.
Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
What the votes mean (official summary):
YES: A surviving spouse of a disabled veteran may make a one-time transfer of the additional homestead exemption to a new qualifying homestead (capped at the prior amount), from 2027.
NO: No transfer right; the surviving-spouse exemption stays tied to the original property.
Results: resolves on the result certified by Secretary of State verifies, compiles and promulgates returns (La. R.S. 18:574(D)); Governor proclaims adoption (Const. art. XIII §1(C)).. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.
No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.
Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.
Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.
Official source: https://www.sos.la.gov/media/jo2die1s/proposed-constitutional-amendments-2026-nov.pdf